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* Department of Biology, University of
Missouri, St. Louis, MO 63121; and
Edited by Christopher B. Field, Carnegie Institution of
Washington, Stanford, CA, and approved March 12, 2003 (received for review September 30, 2002)
During 1984-2000, canopy tree growth in old-growth tropical rain
forest at La Selva, Costa Rica, varied >2-fold among years. The
trees' annual diameter increments in this 16-yr period were negatively
correlated with annual means of daily minimum temperatures. The tree
growth variations also negatively covaried with the net carbon exchange
of the terrestrial tropics as a whole, as inferred from nearly
pole-to-pole measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) interpreted by an inverse tracer-transport model.
Strong reductions in tree growth and large inferred tropical releases of CO2 to the atmosphere occurred during the record-hot
1997-1998 El Niño. These and other recent findings are
consistent with decreased net primary production in tropical forests in
the warmer years of the last two decades. As has been projected by
recent process model studies, such a sensitivity of tropical forest
productivity to on-going climate change would accelerate the rate of
atmospheric CO2 accumulation.
From the Cover
Ecology
Tropical rain forest tree growth and atmospheric carbon dynamics
linked to interannual temperature variation during 1984-2000
,
,
, and
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla,
CA 92093-0244
To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail:
daclark{at}sloth.ots.ac.cr.
www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0935903100
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