Sign up for PNAS Online eTocs
Link: Info for AuthorsLink: Editorial BoardLink: AboutLink: SubscribeLink: AdvertiseLink: ContactLink: Sitemap Link: PNAS Home
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Link: Current Issue "" Link: Archives "" Link: Online Submission ""  Link: Advanced Search

Published online on October 23, 2003, 10.1073/pnas.2134014100
PNAS | November 11, 2003 | vol. 100 | no. 23 | 13158-13161


This Article
Right arrow Full Text
Right arrow Full Text (PDF)
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Right arrow Citation Map
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a colleague
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Similar articles in ISI Web of Science
Right arrow Similar articles in PubMed
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Add to My File Cabinet
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrow Request Copyright Permission
Citing Articles
Right arrow Citing Articles via HighWire
Right arrow Citing Articles via CrossRef
Right arrow Citing Articles via ISI Web of Science (11)
Right arrow Citing Articles via Google Scholar
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Milly, P. C. D.
Right arrow Articles by Gennero, C.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
PubMed
Right arrow PubMed Citation
Right arrow Articles by Milly, P. C. D.
Right arrow Articles by Gennero, C.
GeoRef
Right arrow GeoRef Citation
Social Bookmarking
Add to CiteULike   Add to Complore   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us   Add to Digg  
What's this?

 Previous Article  | Table of Contents |  Next Article 

Geophysics
Contribution of climate-driven change in continental water storage to recent sea-level rise

P. C. D. Milly * {dagger}, A. Cazenave {ddagger}, and C. Gennero {ddagger}

*U.S. Geological Survey, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, P.O. Box 308, Princeton, NJ 08534; and {ddagger}Laboratoire d'Etudes en Geophysique et Oceanographie Spatiales, Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales, 31400 Toulouse, France

Edited by Carl Wunsch, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA and approved August 26, 2003 (received for review June 28, 2003)

Using a global model of continental water balance, forced by interannual variations in precipitation and near-surface atmospheric temperature for the period 1981–1998, we estimate the sea-level changes associated with climate-driven changes in storage of water as snowpack, soil water, and ground water; storage in ice sheets and large lakes is not considered. The 1981–1998 trend is estimated to be 0.12 mm/yr, and substantial interannual fluctuations are inferred; for 1993–1998, the trend is 0.25 mm/yr. At the decadal time scale, the terrestrial contribution to eustatic (i.e., induced by mass exchange) sea-level rise is significantly smaller than the estimated steric (i.e., induced by density changes) trend for the same period, but is not negligibly small. In the model the sea-level rise is driven mainly by a downtrend in continental precipitation during the study period, which we believe was generated by natural variability in the climate system.

This paper was submitted directly (Track II) to the PNAS office.

Abbreviations: LaD, Land Dynamics; CMAP, Climate Prediction Center Merged Analysis of Precipitation; ISBA, Interactions between Soil, Biosphere, and Atmosphere.

{dagger} To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: cmilly{at}usgs.gov.


Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Complore Complore   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us   Add to Digg Digg    What's this?


This article has been cited by other articles in HighWire Press-hosted journals:


Home page
 Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USAHome page
A. Grinsted, J. C. Moore, and S. Jevrejeva
Observational evidence for volcanic impact on sea level and the global water cycle
PNAS, December 11, 2007; 104(50): 19730 - 19734.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]