Submit Papers Directly to PNAS via Track II Sign up for PNAS Online eTocs
Link: Info for AuthorsLink: Editorial BoardLink: AboutLink: SubscribeLink: AdvertiseLink: ContactLink: Sitemap Link: PNAS Home
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Link: Current Issue "" Link: Archives "" Link: Online Submission ""  Link: Advanced Search


PNAS | April 16, 2002 | vol. 99 | no. 8 | 5237-5240
This Article
Right arrow Full Text
Right arrow Full Text (PDF)
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Right arrow Citation Map
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a colleague
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Similar articles in ISI Web of Science
Right arrow Similar articles in PubMed
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Add to My File Cabinet
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrow Request Copyright Permission
Citing Articles
Right arrow Citing Articles via HighWire
Right arrow Citing Articles via CrossRef
Right arrow Citing Articles via ISI Web of Science (30)
Right arrow Citing Articles via Google Scholar
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Goldenberg, A.
Right arrow Articles by Fienberg, S. E.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
PubMed
Right arrow PubMed Citation
Right arrow Articles by Goldenberg, A.
Right arrow Articles by Fienberg, S. E.
Social Bookmarking
Add to CiteULike   Add to Complore   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us   Add to Digg  
What's this?

 Previous Article  | Table of Contents |  Next Article 

Statistics
 Early statistical detection of anthrax outbreaks by tracking over-the-counter medication sales

(biosurveillance|time series analysis|grocery data)

Anna Goldenberg*, Galit Shmueli*,dagger , Richard A. Caruana*, and Stephen E. Fienberg*,dagger ,Dagger

* Center for Automated Learning and Discovery and dagger  Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890

Contributed by Stephen E. Fienberg, February 27, 2002

The recent series of anthrax attacks has reinforced the importance of biosurveillance systems for the timely detection of epidemics. This paper describes a statistical framework for monitoring grocery data to detect a large-scale but localized bioterrorism attack. Our system illustrates the potential of data sources that may be more timely than traditional medical and public health data. The system includes several layers, each customized to grocery data and tuned to finding footprints of an epidemic. We also propose an evaluation methodology that is suitable in the absence of data on large-scale bioterrorist attacks and disease outbreaks.

Dagger To whom reprint requests should be addressed. E-mail: fienberg{at}stat.cmu.edu.

www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.042117499
Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Complore Complore   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us   Add to Digg Digg    What's this?


This article has been cited by other articles in HighWire Press-hosted journals:


Home page
 J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc.Home page
K. D. Mandl, J. M. Overhage, M. M. Wagner, W. B. Lober, P. Sebastiani, F. Mostashari, J. A. Pavlin, P. H. Gesteland, T. Treadwell, E. Koski, et al.
Implementing Syndromic Surveillance: A Practical Guide Informed by the Early Experience
J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc., March 1, 2004; 11(2): 141 - 150.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

Home page
 J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc.Home page
P. H. Gesteland, R. M. Gardner, F.-C. Tsui, J. U. Espino, R. T. Rolfs, B. C. James, W. W. Chapman, A. W. Moore, and M. M. Wagner
Automated Syndromic Surveillance for the 2002 Winter Olympics
J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc., November 1, 2003; 10(6): 547 - 554.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

Home page
 J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc.Home page
M. M. Wagner, J. M. Robinson, F.-C. Tsui, J. U. Espino, and W. R. Hogan
Design of a National Retail Data Monitor for Public Health Surveillance
J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc., September 1, 2003; 10(5): 409 - 418.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

Home page
 J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc.Home page
W. W. Chapman, G. F. Cooper, P. Hanbury, B. E. Chapman, L. H. Harrison, and M. M. Wagner
Creating a Text Classifier to Detect Radiology Reports Describing Mediastinal Findings Associated with Inhalational Anthrax and Other Disorders
J. Am. Med. Inform. Assoc., September 1, 2003; 10(5): 494 - 503.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

Home page
 Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USAHome page
R. Brookmeyer, E. Johnson, and R. Bollinger
Modeling the optimum duration of antibiotic prophylaxis in an anthrax outbreak
PNAS, August 19, 2003; 100(17): 10129 - 10132.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

Home page
 Am. J. Public HealthHome page
J. A. Pavlin, F. Mostashari, M. G. Kortepeter, N. A. Hynes, R. A. Chotani, Y. B. Mikol, M. A. K. Ryan, J. S. Neville, D. T. Gantz, J. V. Writer, et al.
Innovative Surveillance Methods for Rapid Detection of Disease Outbreaks and Bioterrorism: Results of an Interagency Workshop on Health Indicator Surveillance
Am J Public Health, August 1, 2003; 93(8): 1230 - 1235.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

Home page
 Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USAHome page
B. Y. Reis, M. Pagano, and K. D. Mandl
Using temporal context to improve biosurveillance
PNAS, February 18, 2003; 100(4): 1961 - 1965.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]