Global fish production and climate change

  1. K. M. Brander*
  1. International Council for the Exploration of the Sea, 44–46 Hans Christian Andersens Boulevard, DK-1553 Copenhagen V, Denmark
  1. Edited by William Easterling, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, and accepted by the Editorial Board September 26, 2007 (received for review March 6, 2007)

  1. Fig. 1.

    World fisheries production from capture fisheries (open squares) and aquaculture (crosses). (Left) Global totals, including China. (Right) Global totals, excluding China (because of doubts over the reliability of the statistics) and showing the marine (black) and inland (red) production separately. Note that the right-hand scale applies for aquaculture (crosses).


  2. Fig. 2.

    Schematic representation of impacts of climate change and fishing activity on the marine ecosystem and its fish component.


  3. Fig. 3.

    Schematic effect of a 2°C increase in temperature. The shading represents temperature regions with progressively more adverse effects. The red lines show seasonal temperatures that are 2°C above the black lines. (Left) The black seasonal temperature pattern enters the adverse region in winter but not in summer. The red pattern escapes from adverse winter temperature but enters the adverse region in summer. The mean temperatures are the same in both panels, but seasonal amplitude is reduced in Right, and neither pattern enters the adverse region. Climate change may, of course, affect the amplitude of such seasonal cycles, as well as the mean.


  4. Fig. 4.

    Temperature profile at Hell's Gate (Fraser River, BC, Canada) in 2004 (blue line), also showing the 60-year mean (black solid line), ±1 standard deviation (yellow lines), and 60-year minimum and maximums (black dashed lines). For several days in mid-August, Fraser River water temperatures, as measured at Hell's Gate, were the highest ever recorded (from Canadian Standing Committee on Fisheries and Oceans, 2005, www-comm.pac.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/publications/2004psr/Williams5_e.htm).


Footnotes

  • *E-mail: keith{at}ices.dk
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