The role of the airline transportation network in the prediction and predictability of global epidemics

Colizza et al. 10.1073/pnas.0510525103.

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Supporting Figure 6

Fig. 6. Reliability of entropic profiles respect to R0. Entropy profiles for two different disease strains starting in Hong Kong characterized by two different values of the reproductive number R0. Values are those estimated for the severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak in Hong Kong. (A) R0 = 2.2. (B) R0 = 3.7. From top to bottom: HOMN, HETN, and WAN.





Supporting Figure 7

Fig. 7. Reliability of entropic profiles respect to initial immunity. Entropy profiles of an epidemics starting in Hong Kong, where the initial percentage of susceptible population in each city is assumed to be equal to 80% and 60%. Susceptible fraction values are chosen in agreement with the estimates provided by research studies on different strains of influenza disease. (A) S(t = 0) = 0.8·N. (B) S(t = 0) = 0.6·N. From top to bottom: HOMN, HETN, and WAN.

This Article

  1. Published online before print February 3, 2006, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0510525103 PNAS February 14, 2006 vol. 103 no. 7 2015-2020
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