The effect of geographic range on extinction risk during background and mass extinction

Payne and Finnegan. 10.1073/pnas.0701257104.

Supporting Information

Files in this Data Supplement:

SI Table 2
SI Table 3
SI Table 4
SI Table 5
SI Table 6
SI Table 7
SI Table 8
SI Table 9




Table 2. Odds ratio (OR) estimates and 95% confidence intervals (C.I.) of survivorship with respect to genus range

Time interval

Total genera

Est. OR

Lower C.I.

Upper C.I.

P (c2)

Cambrian 1

14

>999.999

<0.001

>999.999

0.98

Cambrian 2

425

1.519

1.264

1.826

<0.0001

Cambrian 3

320

1.798

1.391

2.323

<0.0001

Cambrian 4

392

1.918

1.251

2.94

0.0038

Ordovician 1

330

1.748

1.356

2.254

<0.0001

Ordovician 2

466

1.5

1.245

1.808

<0.0001

Ordovician 3

505

3.791

2.378

6.043

<0.0001

Ordovician 4

1010

2.49

2.096

2.958

<0.0001

Ordovician 5

693

1.527

1.352

1.725

<0.0001

Silurian 1

717

2.077

1.654

2.609

<0.0001

Silurian 2

1217

1.493

1.38

1.616

<0.0001

Devonian 1

866

1.601

1.41

1.817

<0.0001

Devonian 2

759

1.946

1.628

2.326

<0.0001

Devonian 3

885

1.812

1.605

2.047

<0.0001

Devonian 4

353

1.499

1.242

1.809

<0.0001

Devonian 5

331

1.467

1.086

1.981

0.0106

Carboniferous 1

444

2.15

1.579

2.929

<0.0001

Carboniferous 2

415

2.721

1.895

3.907

<0.0001

Carboniferous 3

278

3.334

1.987

5.592

<0.0001

Carboniferous 4

248

3.726

1.875

7.407

0.0002

Carboniferous 5

274

7.532

2.295

24.722

0.001

Permian 1

305

2.56

1.484

4.416

0.0013

Permian 2

418

4.067

2.252

7.344

<0.0001

Permian 3

552

2.949

2.266

3.839

<0.0001

Permian 4

313

1.195

0.963

1.482

0.1446

Triassic 1

124

1.655

1.129

2.425

0.0096

Triassic 2

310

1.951

1.419

2.683

<0.0001

Triassic 3

368

2.129

1.599

2.835

<0.0001

Triassic 4

420

1.068

0.988

1.154

0.0939

Jurassic 1

262

1.876

1.201

2.931

0.0059

Jurassic 2

266

2.163

1.5

3.118

<0.0001

Jurassic 3

255

1.823

1.311

2.534

0.0005

Jurassic 4

460

4.125

2.306

7.378

<0.0001

Jurassic 5

736

2.074

1.774

2.425

<0.0001

Jurassic 6

369

3.807

2.364

6.132

<0.0001

Cretaceous 1

252

2.289

1.283

4.084

0.0069

Cretaceous 2

247

3.474

1.683

7.171

0.0012

Cretaceous 3

390

2.143

1.455

3.158

0.0002

Cretaceous 4

412

2.352

1.543

3.585

<0.0001

Cretaceous 5

346

1.416

0.94

2.132

0.0937

Cretaceous 6

375

2.168

1.43

3.285

0.0002

Cretaceous 7

426

4.806

2.683

8.606

<0.0001

Cretaceous 8

735

1.064

1.026

1.103

0.0006

Cenozoic 1

827

2.107

1.729

2.569

<0.0001

Cenozoic 2

722

2.97

2.211

3.989

<0.0001

Cenozoic 3

894

1.971

1.668

2.328

<0.0001

Cenozoic 4

682

2.528

1.936

3.301

<0.0001

Cenozoic 5

1031

3.141

2.5

3.946

<0.0001




Table 3. Odds ratios estimating geographic range selectivity in a multiple logistic regression of extinction risk with respect to geographic range, log occurrence frequency, and species richness

Time interval

Total genera

Est. OR

Lower C.I.

Upper C.I.

P (c2)

Cambrian 2

425

2.238

1.614

3.103

<0.0001

Cambrian 3

320

1.048

0.769

1.426

0.9737

Cambrian 4

392

1.726

1.083

2.751

0.0246

Ordovician 1

330

1.646

1.212

2.235

0.0026

Ordovician 2

466

1.249

0.99

1.575

0.1004

Ordovician 3

505

2.357

1.402

3.964

0.0023

Ordovician 4

1010

2.008

1.653

2.441

<0.0001

Ordovician 5

693

1.475

1.255

1.734

<0.0001

Silurian 1

717

1.864

1.409

2.465

<0.0001

Silurian 2

1217

1.335

1.196

1.492

<0.0001

Devonian 1

866

1.464

1.233

1.739

<0.0001

Devonian 2

759

1.631

1.304

2.04

<0.0001

Devonian 3

885

1.431

1.232

1.663

<0.0001

Devonian 4

353

1.256

0.978

1.613

0.0635

Devonian 5

331

0.884

0.578

1.35

0.3871

Carboniferous 1

444

1.342

0.906

1.987

0.0844

Carboniferous 2

415

1.812

1.178

2.786

0.0181

Carboniferous 3

278

1.365

0.735

2.538

0.3946

Carboniferous 4

248

1.962

0.941

4.09

0.0662

Carboniferous 5

274

2.569

0.708

9.325

0.196

Permian 1

305

1.524

0.813

2.854

0.5859

Permian 2

418

3.116

1.649

5.887

0.0012

Permian 3

552

2.872

2.117

3.897

<0.0001

Permian 4

313

1.03

0.721

1.471

0.6885

Triassic 1

124

2.257

1.213

4.198

0.0116

Triassic 2

310

2.034

1.359

3.046

0.0004

Triassic 3

368

1.444

1.02

2.044

0.0376

Triassic 4

420

0.964

0.849

1.095

0.6068

Jurassic 1

262

1.494

0.853

2.614

0.1668

Jurassic 2

266

1.663

1.092

2.53

0.0227

Jurassic 3

255

1.992

1.246

3.184

0.0055

Jurassic 4

460

2.694

1.341

5.415

0.0029

Jurassic 5

736

2.175

1.758

2.691

<0.0001