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Research Article

Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown

View ORCID ProfileValentina Marziano, View ORCID ProfileGiorgio Guzzetta, View ORCID ProfileBruna Maria Rondinone, View ORCID ProfileFabio Boccuni, Flavia Riccardo, View ORCID ProfileAntonino Bella, View ORCID ProfilePiero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, View ORCID ProfilePatrizio Pezzotti, View ORCID ProfileSilvio Brusaferro, Giovanni Rezza, View ORCID ProfileSergio Iavicoli, View ORCID ProfileMarco Ajelli, and View ORCID ProfileStefano Merler
PNAS January 26, 2021 118 (4) e2019617118; https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2019617118
Valentina Marziano
aCenter for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento 38123, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Valentina Marziano
Giorgio Guzzetta
aCenter for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento 38123, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Giorgio Guzzetta
Bruna Maria Rondinone
bDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Epidemiology and Hygiene, Italian Workers’ Compensation Authority, Monteporzio Catone (Rome) 00078, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Bruna Maria Rondinone
Fabio Boccuni
bDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Epidemiology and Hygiene, Italian Workers’ Compensation Authority, Monteporzio Catone (Rome) 00078, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Fabio Boccuni
Flavia Riccardo
cDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome 00161, Italy;
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Antonino Bella
cDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome 00161, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Antonino Bella
Piero Poletti
aCenter for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento 38123, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Piero Poletti
Filippo Trentini
aCenter for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento 38123, Italy;
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Patrizio Pezzotti
cDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome 00161, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Patrizio Pezzotti
Silvio Brusaferro
cDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome 00161, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Silvio Brusaferro
Giovanni Rezza
cDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome 00161, Italy;
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Sergio Iavicoli
bDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Epidemiology and Hygiene, Italian Workers’ Compensation Authority, Monteporzio Catone (Rome) 00078, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Sergio Iavicoli
Marco Ajelli
dDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health, Bloomington, IN 47405;
eLaboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115
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Stefano Merler
aCenter for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento 38123, Italy;
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  • ORCID record for Stefano Merler
  • For correspondence: merler@fbk.eu
  1. Edited by Andrea Rinaldo, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, and approved December 14, 2020 (received for review September 18, 2020)

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Article Information

vol. 118 no. 4 e2019617118
DOI: 
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2019617118
PubMed: 
33414277

Published By: 
National Academy of Sciences
Print ISSN: 
0027-8424
Online ISSN: 
1091-6490
History: 
  • Published in issue January 26, 2021.
  • Published online January 7, 2021.

Copyright & Usage: 
Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY).

Author Information

  1. Valentina Marzianoa,1,
  2. Giorgio Guzzettaa,1,
  3. Bruna Maria Rondinoneb,
  4. Fabio Boccunib,
  5. Flavia Riccardoc,
  6. Antonino Bellac,
  7. Piero Polettia,
  8. Filippo Trentinia,
  9. Patrizio Pezzottic,
  10. Silvio Brusaferroc,
  11. Giovanni Rezzac,
  12. Sergio Iavicolib,
  13. Marco Ajellid,e, and
  14. Stefano Merlera,2
  1. aCenter for Health Emergencies, Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento 38123, Italy;
  2. bDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Epidemiology and Hygiene, Italian Workers’ Compensation Authority, Monteporzio Catone (Rome) 00078, Italy;
  3. cDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome 00161, Italy;
  4. dDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health, Bloomington, IN 47405;
  5. eLaboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115
  1. Edited by Andrea Rinaldo, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, and approved December 14, 2020 (received for review September 18, 2020)

Footnotes

  • ↵1V.M. and G.G. contributed equally to this work.

  • ↵2To whom correspondence may be addressed. Email: merler{at}fbk.eu.
  • Author contributions: G.G., S.B., G.R., S.I., M.A., and S.M. designed research; V.M., G.G., B.M.R., F.B., P. Poletti, and F.T. performed research; V.M., G.G., B.M.R., F.B., A.B., P. Poletti, and F.T. analyzed data; and V.M., G.G., F.R., P. Poletti, F.T., P. Pezzotti, M.A., and S.M. wrote the paper.

  • Competing interest statement: M.A. has received research funding from Seqirus. The funding is not related to COVID-19. All other authors declare no competing interest.

  • This article is a PNAS Direct Submission.

  • This article contains supporting information online at https://www.pnas.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1073/pnas.2019617118/-/DCSupplemental.

Cited By...

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This article has been cited by the following articles in journals that are participating in Crossref Cited-by Linking.

  • Reopening schools in the context of increasing COVID-19 community transmission: The French experience
    C. Gras-Le Guen, R. Cohen, J. Rozenberg, E. Launay, D. Levy-Bruhl, C. Delacourt
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Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown
Valentina Marziano, Giorgio Guzzetta, Bruna Maria Rondinone, Fabio Boccuni, Flavia Riccardo, Antonino Bella, Piero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, Patrizio Pezzotti, Silvio Brusaferro, Giovanni Rezza, Sergio Iavicoli, Marco Ajelli, Stefano Merler
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Jan 2021, 118 (4) e2019617118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2019617118

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Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown
Valentina Marziano, Giorgio Guzzetta, Bruna Maria Rondinone, Fabio Boccuni, Flavia Riccardo, Antonino Bella, Piero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, Patrizio Pezzotti, Silvio Brusaferro, Giovanni Rezza, Sergio Iavicoli, Marco Ajelli, Stefano Merler
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Jan 2021, 118 (4) e2019617118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2019617118
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences: 118 (4)
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