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Research Article

Periodicity of extinctions in the geologic past

D M Raup and J J Sepkoski Jr

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PNAS February 1, 1984 81 (3) 801-805; https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.81.3.801
D M Raup
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J J Sepkoski Jr
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Abstract

The temporal distribution of the major extinctions over the past 250 million years has been investigated statistically using various forms of time series analysis. The analyzed record is based on variation in extinction intensity for fossil families of marine vertebrates, invertebrates, and protozoans and contains 12 extinction events. The 12 events show a statistically significant periodicity (P less than 0.01) with a mean interval between events of 26 million years. Two of the events coincide with extinctions that have been previously linked to meteorite impacts (terminal Cretaceous and Late Eocene). Although the causes of the periodicity are unknown, it is possible that they are related to extraterrestrial forces (solar, solar system, or galactic).

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Periodicity of extinctions in the geologic past
D M Raup, J J Sepkoski
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Feb 1984, 81 (3) 801-805; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.81.3.801

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Periodicity of extinctions in the geologic past
D M Raup, J J Sepkoski
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Feb 1984, 81 (3) 801-805; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.81.3.801
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