Magnitude and variation of prehistoric bird extinctions in the Pacific

Edited by Robert E. Ricklefs, University of Missouri, St. Louis, MO, and approved February 26, 2013 (received for review September 21, 2012)
March 25, 2013
110 (16) 6436-6441

Abstract

The largest extinction event in the Holocene occurred on Pacific islands, where Late Quaternary fossils reveal the loss of thousands of bird populations following human colonization of the region. However, gaps in the fossil record mean that considerable uncertainty surrounds the magnitude and pattern of these extinctions. We use a Bayesian mark-recapture approach to model gaps in the fossil record and to quantify losses of nonpasserine landbirds on 41 Pacific islands. Two-thirds of the populations on these islands went extinct in the period between first human arrival and European contact, with extinction rates linked to island and species characteristics that increased susceptibility to hunting and habitat destruction. We calculate that human colonization of remote Pacific islands caused the global extinction of close to 1,000 species of nonpasserine landbird alone; nonpasserine seabird and passerine extinctions will add to this total.

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Acknowledgments

We thank Phillip Cassey, Matt McGlone, Janet Wilmshurst, and two reviewers for helpful comments on the manuscript; and Corinne Martin for kindly providing Pacific island location and area data. Support for this work was provided by National Science Foundation Grant DBI-0805669 (to A.G.B.), and funding for data collection efforts was provided by the Smithsonian Institution, University of New Mexico, and the American Museum of Natural History.

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Published in

Go to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Vol. 110 | No. 16
April 16, 2013
PubMed: 23530197

Classifications

Submission history

Published online: March 25, 2013
Published in issue: April 16, 2013

Keywords

  1. endemism
  2. human impact
  3. island biogeography
  4. zooarchaeology
  5. avifauna

Acknowledgments

We thank Phillip Cassey, Matt McGlone, Janet Wilmshurst, and two reviewers for helpful comments on the manuscript; and Corinne Martin for kindly providing Pacific island location and area data. Support for this work was provided by National Science Foundation Grant DBI-0805669 (to A.G.B.), and funding for data collection efforts was provided by the Smithsonian Institution, University of New Mexico, and the American Museum of Natural History.

Notes

This article is a PNAS Direct Submission.

Authors

Affiliations

Richard P. Duncan1 [email protected]
Institute for Applied Ecology, University of Canberra, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia;
Alison G. Boyer
Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996-1610;
Tim M. Blackburn
Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London NW1 4RY, United Kingdom; and
Distinguished Scientist Fellowship Program, King Saud University, Riyadh 1145, Saudi Arabia

Notes

1
To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: [email protected].
Author contributions: R.P.D., A.G.B., and T.M.B. designed research; A.G.B. performed research; R.P.D. analyzed data; and R.P.D., A.G.B., and T.M.B. wrote the paper.

Competing Interests

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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    Magnitude and variation of prehistoric bird extinctions in the Pacific
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
    • Vol. 110
    • No. 16
    • pp. 6243-6608

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