Table 1.

The final epidemic size is denoted by Episize i , where i marks its maximum, mean, and median value

0EpisizemaxEpisizemeanEpisizemedian
Baseline :: Plan Category 1–2
1.4(143 :: 20)(71 :: 2)(78 :: 0)
1.6(160 :: 22)(106 :: 3)(122 :: 1)
1.8(177 :: 86)(132 :: 7)(142 :: 1)
2.0(176 :: 91)(148 :: 8)(153 :: 1)
2.2(183:: 104)(161 :: 11)(164 :: 2)
2.4(185 :: 143)(170 :: 26)(171 :: 9)
2.6(192 :: 125)(173 :: 45)(177 :: 45)
2.8(194 :: 159)(178 :: 81)(179 :: 88)
Plan Category 3–4 :: Plan Category 5
1.4(13 :: 1)(0 :: 0)(0 :: 0)
1.6(16 :: 1)(1 :: 0)(0 :: 0)
1.9(29 :: 1)(1 :: 0)(0 :: 0)
2.0(34 :: 1)(1 :: 0)(0 :: 0)
2.2(39 :: 1)(2 :: 0)(0 :: 0)
2.4(88 :: 1)(3 :: 0)(1 :: 0)
2.6(104 :: 1)(12 :: 0)(2 :: 0)
2.8(118 :: 2)(26 :: 0)(12 :: 0)
  • Results for the baseline and intervention plans simulated (punctuation mark :: separates these outcomes). These findings assumed that interventions had no effect on asymptomatic persons (ρ i = 1). Mortality cases corresponding to these simulations may be obtained by multiplying Episize i by the case fatality proportion (CFP) in Table 2.