Table S3.

Direct relationship

  • Two-level mixed effects logistic regression estimates with SEs in parentheses (*P < 0.10; **P < 0.05; ***P < 0.01). The models test the direct association between our preferred drought measure (models 1–4) as well as the cumulative drought indicator (models 5–8) and conflict outbreak and conflict incidence for the complete Asia–Africa sample (white) as well as for a subsample of ethnic groups in low-development countries (IMR > median; pink).