Table S9.

Robustness cumulative drought exclusion interaction—high IMR subsample

  • Two-level mixed effects logistic regression estimates with SEs in parentheses (*P < 0.10; **P < 0.05; ***P < 0.01). The models represent an extension of Table S8 by introducing an interaction effect between cumulative drought and ethnopolitical exclusion. Model 45 is identical to model 32 (Table S6). Model 46 is estimated on a subsample of excluded groups and including group fixed effects. All DVs are conflict incidence. All models are estimated on the subsample of low-development countries (IMR > median; pink).