Table 2.

Median posterior estimate of abundance and values for the 95% Bayesian CI from the 2 state–space models fit using only tagging data for Little Cayman: basic model and the model incorporating surveyor effect

YearBasic model DIC = 9,219.7 (∆DIC = 137.3)Model incorporating surveyor effect DIC = 9,082.4 (∆DIC = 0)
20081,902 (1,273, 3,031)1,732 (1,110, 2,761)
20091,741 (1,479, 2,080)1,684 (1,326, 2,157)
20101,425 (1,208, 1,695)1,416 (1,129, 1,790)
20111,819 (1,607, 2,069)1,712 (1,383, 2,101)
20123,170 (2,935, 3,426)3,387 (2,808, 4,066)
20133,192 (2,905, 3,546)3,014 (2,524, 3,680)
20143,784 (3,180, 4,542)2,107 (2,496, 4,120)
20154,681 (4,086, 5,414)4,754 (3,861, 6,007)
20163,542 (3,161, 3,972)4,074 (3,406, 5,023)
20177,075 (6,201, 8,181)6,821 (5,636, 8,425)
20184,847 (4,456, 5,280)5,223 (4,413, 6,310)
  • DIC and ∆DIC values are given next to the model name.